Investigations of Potential Hazards
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has a dedicated unit, the Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics, that focuses on monitoring, predicting, and evaluating disease outbreaks to inform public health responses and prevent the spread of diseases.
Key partners in this endeavor include federal agencies such as the U.S. Department of Agriculture, state and local health departments, international organizations, and academic institutions. These collaborators work together to enhance outbreak forecasting and risk evaluation by pooling resources, expertise, and innovative data, modeling, and analytic methods.
The CDC's risk assessments primarily focus on populations at risk or transmission scenarios of concern. These assessments are grounded in available evidence and steer clear of predictions or speculations. The overall risk for each population or scenario is estimated by considering both the likelihood of infection and the impact of the disease.
Each assessment is assigned a confidence level based on the quality and quantity of evidence that supports it. It is important to note that these assessments do not provide quantitative risk estimates or predict specific outcomes. Instead, they offer an overall assessment of risk.
The assessments are not confined to a single population or scenario but are applicable to multiple ones. These qualitative risk assessments are utilized by CDC leadership, public health professionals, and partners involved in emergency response activities to make informed decisions during public health emergencies, such as infectious disease outbreaks.
The methods employed in these assessments can be found in a separate section of the CDC's resources. For those seeking further insight, this information is readily available.
In summary, the CDC's risk assessments play a crucial role in disease outbreak management, providing valuable insights to guide decision-making during public health emergencies.
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